Lumifer comments on "The Difference Between Medicine and Poison is Dosage" Shirts and Bags - Less Wrong

-3 Post author: Gleb_Tsipursky 27 December 2015 10:11PM

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Comment author: Lumifer 28 December 2015 05:09:41PM 4 points [-]

There is clear evidence of InIn having a positive impact on at least some members of a broad audience.

Really? Which evidence? All I've seen so far is reports of, basically, impressions (eyeballs/clicks). Do you have evidence of actual positive impact?

Comment author: Gleb_Tsipursky 28 December 2015 05:13:58PM 0 points [-]

See pages 13 and 14 of this document.

Comment author: Lumifer 28 December 2015 05:19:51PM 0 points [-]

/rolls eyes

So if I convince a guy I know that he should finally junk his old car and get something that doesn't break down all the time, do I also get to brag about having clear evidence that I made a "positive impact on at least some members of a broad audience"?

Comment author: Gleb_Tsipursky 28 December 2015 05:24:12PM 0 points [-]

If that is an example from a series of workshops you ran, sure :-) That's the kind of case study story that CFAR uses, after all, except they target elites who make decisions within their own lives/companies that address the kind of sunken cost fallacy this exemplifies.

Comment author: Lumifer 28 December 2015 05:32:43PM 1 point [-]

I don't think kitchen-table common-sense advice qualifies as spreading rationality and requires a full-blown non-profit to do :-/

Evidently, I also love hyphens X-)

Comment author: [deleted] 29 December 2015 06:33:42AM 1 point [-]

I don't think kitchen-table common-sense advice qualifies as spreading rationality and requires a full-blown non-profit to do :-/

You seem to have a much rosier outlook than I on the average person's ability to use common sense :)

Comment author: Lumifer 04 January 2016 05:09:19PM 0 points [-]

You seem to have a much rosier outlook than I on the average person's ability to use common sense :)

I don't think that's true, I tend to consider "average people" idiots. But I also don't think that plain-vanilla advice along the lines of "don't normally carry a balance on your credit cards" requires a special non-profit or a lot of noise about rationality.

Comment author: [deleted] 04 January 2016 05:45:42PM 0 points [-]

But I also don't think that plain-vanilla advice along the lines of "don't normally carry a balance on your credit cards" requires a special non-profit.

What do you think the best way to get these types of messages to sink in is?

Comment author: Lumifer 04 January 2016 05:55:09PM *  0 points [-]

Um, an advertising campaign professionally designed? :-/ If you want to manipulate people, ask those who do that for a living.

I'm rather sceptical about educating the stupid, though.

Comment author: [deleted] 04 January 2016 06:09:56PM 0 points [-]

Um, an advertising campaign professionally designed?

Who pays for the professional design? Who coordinates it?

Isn't that the purpose of having a non-profit around becoming more rational?

Comment author: Gleb_Tsipursky 28 December 2015 05:36:21PM 0 points [-]

Hindsight bias is a powerful thing :-)

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