jbay comments on A note about calibration of confidence - Less Wrong

12 Post author: jbay 04 January 2016 06:57AM

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Comment author: jbay 05 January 2016 07:41:05AM 1 point [-]

I'm really not so sure what a frequentist would think. How would they express "Jeb Bush will not be the top-polling Republican candidate" in the form of a repeated random experiment?

It seems to me more likely that a frequentist would object to applying probabilities to such a statement.