gjm comments on Investment Strategy - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (21)
Consider the possibility that you may be discounting the future too much. Modest returns can add up to quite a lot on a timescale of several years.
(Aside from that, I agree with Protagoras.)
So are you talking about compoound interest on an alternative investment with greater certainty (fixed bank deposit)?
Hmmm. So if I made a modest 6 percent per year on my 20k, I can expect to have 200,000 in 40 years (without added additions). That doesn't seem to match what a want, but then again that assumes I have zero net addition which I reckon is unlikely.
I get approx. 5000AUD a year from Centrelink, and don't really spend it so lowers it to 17 years till house. This is an oversimplification since I donate to charity and will probably have a job that makes more money with a lifestyle that costs money but this gives me an upper bound. If instead I can add 10,000AUD per year to my investment I can get to 200k in 10 years which seems like an attractive prospect
the principle barrier to this is that now i have my money tied up in illiquid assets that are longterm in their strategy. If I liquididate now I could be seriously damaging future gains no. Maybe it's best to wait for those stocks to appreciate then to sell them and place in an index fund (but a fixed deposit account is safer yeah?)