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ChristianKl comments on Open Thread, Feb 8 - Feb 15, 2016 - Less Wrong
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Why do people spend much, much more time worrying about their retirement plans than the intelligence explosion if they are a similar distance in the future? I understand that people spend less time worrying about the intelligence explosion than what would be socially optimal because the vast majority of its benefits will be in the very far future, which people care little about. However, it seems probable that the intelligence explosion will still have a substantial effect on many people in the near-ish future (within the next 100 years). Yet, hardly anyone worries about it. Why?
Why do you think they are in similar distance in the future? If you take the LW median of a likely arrival of the intelligence explosion that's later than when most people are going to retire.
If you look at the general population most people consider the intelligence explosion even less likely.
It's later, but, unless I am mistaken, the arrival of the intelligence explosion isn't that much later than when most people will retire, so I don't think that fully explains it.
I think it's often double. Retiring in 40 years and expecting the intelligence explosion in 80 years.
That sounds about right.