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Dagon comments on Where does our community disagree about meaningful issues? - Less Wrong
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I've noticed most LWers who bother to speak on the matter predict with high confidence a Republican win, whereas I don't see that anywhere in the realm of possibility this year. By contrast, RationalWiki is all for Sanders, it seems.
A few examples? I've seen references to betting market odds, but nobody predicting any outcome with anywhere near high confidence (say, 70%+). Maybe I'm just not invited to those threads :)