hannahelisabeth comments on Something to Protect - Less Wrong
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Comments (75)
As MugaSofer said, it doesn't need be 400/500, it may be 400/1,000,000 vs (500/1,000,000 with 90% probability). The original question indicated "Suppose that a disease, or a monster, or a war, or something, is killing people. "
Imagine that hundreds of thousand lives are getting lost.
How about the following rephrasing?
There's a natural catastrophe (e.g. a tsunami) occuring that will claim >100,000 lives. You have two options:
I think that rephrasing improves it.