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Lumifer comments on If there was one element of statistical literacy that you could magically implant in every head, what would it be? - Less Wrong
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I asked about a single forecast, not about a prediction system (for which, of course, it's possible to come up with various metrics of accuracy, etc.). Can the forecast of 70% chance of rain tomorrow be wrong, without the quotes? How could you tell without access to the underlying forecasting system?
So your position is that reality is entirely deterministic, there is no "probability" at all in the territory?
I feel that is most likely, yes.