It's a belief about beliefs.
That's true, but it's hard to see why that means that it would be a contradiction. It's true that there is a contradiction if you say that all beliefs have a specific mathematical probability of less than one (e.g. including that 1+1=2), since probability theory also assumes that the probability of a mathematical claim is 1. But probability theory isn't supposed to be an exact representation of human beliefs in the first place, but a formalized and idealized representation. In reality we are not always completely certain even of mathematical truths, and th...
Alternatively, what single concept from statistics would most improve people's interpretations of popular news and daily life events?