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Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on Newcomb's Problem and Regret of Rationality - Less Wrong
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I can sort of buy the part where simple universes have more reality-fluid, though frankly the whole setup strikes me as a mysterious answer to a mysterious question.
But the part where later events have less reality-fluid within a single universe, just because they take more info to locate - that part in particular seems really suspicious. MPF-ish.
I'm far from satisfied with the answer myself, but it's the best I've got so far. :)