Okay, so let's use some concrete examples to see if I understand this abstract correctly.
You say that the chain of causation is from fitness (natural selection) ---> outcomes ---> activities
So, for example: reproduction ---> sex ---> flirting/dancing/tattooing/money/bodybuilding.
Natural selection programs us to have a terminal goal of reproduction. HOWEVER, it would be a bad idea for an AI to conclude, "OK, humans want reproduction? I'll give them reproduction. I'll help the humans reproduce 10 quadrillion people. The more reproduction, the better, right?"
The AI would need to look ahead and see, "OK, the programmed goal of reproduction has caused humans to prefer a specific outcome, sex, which tended to lead to reproduction in the original (ancestral) programming environment, but might no longer do so. Humans have, in other words, come to cherish sex as a terminal goal in its own right through their affective responses to its reward payoff. So, let's make sure that humans can have as much sex as possible, regardless of whether it will really lead to more reproduction. That will make humans happy, right?"
But then the AI would need to look ahead one step further and see, "OK, the preferred outcome of sex has, in turn, caused humans to enjoy, for their own sake, specific activities that, in the experience and learning of particular humans in their singular lifetimes (we are no longer talking about instinctual programming here, but rather culture), has tended in their particular circumstances, to lead to this preferred outcome of sex. In one culture, humans found that flirting tended to lead to sex, and so they formed a positive affective connotation with flirting and came to view flirting as a terminal goal in its own right. In another culture, dancing appeared to be the key to sex, and so dancing became a terminal goal in that culture. In other cultures, bodybuilding, accumulation of money, etc. seemed to lead to sex, and so humans became attached to those activities for their own sake, even beyond the extent to which those activities continued to lead to more sex. So really, the way to make these humans happy would be to pay attention to their particular cultures and psychologies and see which activities they have come to develop a positive affective bond with...because THESE activities have become the humans' new conscious terminal goals. So we AI robots should work hard to make it easy for the humans to engage in as much flirting/dancing/bodybuilding/money accumulation/etc. as possible."
Would this be an accurate example of what you are talking about?
So to first note a few things:
MIRI recently blogged about the workshop paper that I presented at AAAI.
My abstract:
Their summary:
Would be curious to hear whether anyone here has any thoughts. This is basically a "putting rough ideas together and seeing if they make any sense" kind of paper, aimed at clarifying the hypothesis and seeing whether others kind find any obvious holes in it, rather than being at the stage of a serious scientific theory yet.