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Douglas_Knight comments on Open Thread March 7 - March 13, 2016 - Less Wrong
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Who runs Metaculus? Is it a reincarnation of an older organization?
It is some kind of prediction market. Is it a descendant of one of the teams in the IARPA prediction contest? It reminds me of Twardy and Hanson’s Scicast. Is it related? Or do they all look the same to me? The site mentions no names, but Angelbase lists some. Do they suggest some earlier incarnation?
FLI's anthony aguirre is centrally involved or leading, AFAIK.