Vaniver comments on AlphaGo versus Lee Sedol - Less Wrong

17 Post author: gjm 09 March 2016 12:22PM

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Comment author: Vaniver 10 March 2016 07:26:31PM 2 points [-]

The odds I saw for the second match were about 2:3 favoring AlphaGo; my guess is the odds moving forward will be more like 1:4 favoring AlphaGo (but probably it should be closer to something like 1:9).

if we're looking at an AI player that is better than a human can be.

This is my estimation.

Comment author: entirelyuseless 13 March 2016 03:39:44PM 2 points [-]

Lee Sedol has now won the fourth game, which makes this very improbable. I still think AlphaGo is better than him, but this basically means that its competence can still be measured on a human scale.

Comment author: Vaniver 13 March 2016 07:54:31PM 1 point [-]

Agreed that match 4 was a big surprise under my model (I thought it was about 1:20 favoring AlphaGo).