Vaniver comments on AlphaGo versus Lee Sedol - Less Wrong
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Comments (183)
The odds I saw for the second match were about 2:3 favoring AlphaGo; my guess is the odds moving forward will be more like 1:4 favoring AlphaGo (but probably it should be closer to something like 1:9).
This is my estimation.
Lee Sedol has now won the fourth game, which makes this very improbable. I still think AlphaGo is better than him, but this basically means that its competence can still be measured on a human scale.
Agreed that match 4 was a big surprise under my model (I thought it was about 1:20 favoring AlphaGo).