DanArmak comments on How I infiltrated the Raëlians (and was hugged by their leader) - Less Wrong

15 Post author: SquirrelInHell 16 March 2016 05:45AM

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Comment author: DanArmak 20 March 2016 02:27:08PM 2 points [-]

When talking about success rates, we have to consider base rates. Are more or fewer nonsense movements founded than sensible ones?

Comment author: SquirrelInHell 21 March 2016 05:57:24AM * 1 point [-]

Thank you very much for pointing out the base rate fallacy.

Even though I was not saying anything concrete because of not enough data, I want to have had that reflex in place.