Houshalter comments on Lesswrong 2016 Survey - Less Wrong

28 Post author: Elo 30 March 2016 06:17PM

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Comment author: Houshalter 26 March 2016 03:48:53AM 43 points [-]

I took the survey 2 days ago. It was fun. I think I was well calibrated for those calibration questions, but sadly there was no "results" section.

Comment author: MTGandP 26 March 2016 04:42:51PM 6 points [-]

Is it possible to self-consistently believe you're poorly calibrated? If you believe you're overconfident then you would start making less confident predictions right?

Comment author: scarcegreengrass 29 March 2016 03:00:06PM 3 points [-]

You can be imperfectly synchronised across contexts & instances.

Comment author: indexador2 26 March 2016 11:01:56PM 8 points [-]

Being poorly calibrated can also mean you're inconsistent between being overconfident and underconfident.

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