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Houshalter comments on Lesswrong 2016 Survey - Less Wrong
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I took the survey 2 days ago. It was fun. I think I was well calibrated for those calibration questions, but sadly there was no "results" section.
Is it possible to self-consistently believe you're poorly calibrated? If you believe you're overconfident then you would start making less confident predictions right?
You can be imperfectly synchronised across contexts & instances.
Being poorly calibrated can also mean you're inconsistent between being overconfident and underconfident.