ArisKatsaris comments on April 2016 Media Thread - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (42)
Nonfiction Books Thread
The Looming Tower is a very well-written history of the people and background of the 9/11 attacks.
I thought this anecdote, that happened at the Kabul zoo in the aftermath of the Taliban's takeover of the city, was poignant:
(Links are to my GoodReads notes about them)
The related books Superforecasting and Future Babble are about predicting the socio-econo-political future - how people usually fail at it, esp. overconfident pundits - and how it doesn't matter because people forget and they get invited again. The contents align nicely with LW-themes (in terms of instrumental rationality, probabilistic reasoning and recognizing biases etc.), and apply them to read-world prediction making. Some people get quite good at foreseeing events.