Yosarian2 comments on Buy Now Or Forever Hold Your Peace - Less Wrong

21 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 04 February 2008 09:42PM

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Comment author: gwern 31 December 2012 03:51:34PM 1 point [-]

Indeed, Intrade didn't necessarily perform very well for the 2012 races: http://www.gwern.net/2012%20election%20predictions

I suspect Intrade will perform even worse next year now that they have banned American users due to persecution from CFTC.

Comment author: Yosarian2 31 December 2012 04:09:38PM 0 points [-]

Ah; I had missed that news story, that's a shame.