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gjm comments on JFK was not assassinated: prior probability zero events - Less Wrong
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Again, maybe I'm misunderstanding something -- but it sounds as if you're agreeing with me: once the AI observes evidence suggesting that its message has somehow been read, it will infer (or at least act as if it has inferred) Y and do Z.
I thought we were exploring a disagreement here; is there still one?
I think there is no remaining disagreement - I just want to emphasise that before the AI observes such evidence, it will behave the way we want.