rasthedestroyer100 comments on Availability Heuristic Considered Ambiguous - Less Wrong

9 Post author: Gram_Stone 10 June 2016 10:40PM

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Comment author: rasthedestroyer100 30 June 2016 12:23:13PM *  0 points [-]

A useful trick to optimize the accuracy of your priors when considering examples is to semantically disentangle each example in the form of a conjunctive statement. This allows you to avoid the conjunction fallacy, where an example, verbally stated, holds only when many smaller statements conjoined by an and or several them are all true.

By doing this, we can also compare examples rather than treating them as all having the same probability value.