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TheAncientGeek comments on Open thread, Jul. 25 - Jul. 31, 2016 - Less Wrong
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Effectiveness is desirable; effectiveness is measured by results; consistency and verifiability are how we measure what is real.
As a corollary, things that have no evidence do not merit belief. We needn't presume that we are not in a simulation, we can evaluate the evidence for it.
The central perspective shift is recognizing that beliefs are not assertions about reality, but assertions about our knowledge of reality. This what is meant by the map and the territory.
Does evidence have to be direct evidence? Or can something like inference to the best explanation be included?
That is exactly the sort of situation where direct evidence is useless.