hairyfigment comments on People who lie about how much they eat are jerks - Less Wrong
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Citation is still needed :-) Do you have a link to that study?
Let me see if I read your position correctly. We know that slim people are healthier than fat people, right? We know that getting fat worsens your health -- I believe this is fairly uncontroversial -- do you wish to contest that? But you are saying that this is a ratchet, losing fat will not make your health any better. In other words, once you gained weight there is no path back to health ever?
That seems a rather strong statement to me and I haven't seem much support for that being true in reality. Why did you pick this position as your prior?
Ahem.
I'm perfectly willing to concede that a "typical" fat person will not sustainably lose much fat until s/he gets really old and maybe not even then. But then "typical" people aren't very capable in general.
The interesting question is what percentage of fat people can sustainably lose weight and what makes them special.