turchin comments on Open Thread, Sept 5. - Sept 11. 2016 - Less Wrong

6 Post author: Elo 05 September 2016 12:59AM

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Comment author: Gunnar_Zarncke 06 September 2016 06:30:57AM 0 points [-]

Just the fact that you ask the doomsday argument, shows there is something special about you, and puts you into a different reference class.

Why?

Comment author: turchin 06 September 2016 11:58:44AM *  0 points [-]

This interpretation of DA puts you in the class of really intelligent observers, who are able to understand statistic, logic etc. It helps us to solve so called reference class problem in most natural way. It helps to exclude animals, unborn children, Neanderthals from the class of beings from which we are randomly chosen.

Unfortunately it shortens most probable time of existence of our class.