ike comments on Risk Contracts: A Crackpot Idea to Save the World - Less Wrong

-2 Post author: SquirrelInHell 30 September 2016 02:36PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (35)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: SquirrelInHell 30 September 2016 04:12:24PM 1 point [-]

If you think this is related, then I failed to communicate my idea.

You can think of risk contracts as of an internal currency of decision making, that allows to coordinate risk management in a situation when there are multiple agents acting independently (or new agents are created).

Definitely different from betting on extinction events, or betting on predictions about those events.

Comment author: ike 30 September 2016 04:58:51PM 1 point [-]

On a re-read, I understand what you mean. But the issue is that it's hard to measure what level of risk certain activities have (citation needed). I kind of assumed you were saying something along the lines of "let the market decide" but apparently not. But then how do you plan on measuring risk?

If we had a iron-clad process for determining how risky things are, this would be a lot simpler.