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turchin comments on Fermi paradox of human past, and corresponding x-risks - Less Wrong
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If we look on humans as on typical species, we could use typical estimate of species life expectancy, which is several million years, and use it as human life expectancy. It is not bad.
But humans are definitely in the special point of their history and they could create a competitor soon (post humans or AI) and doesn't look good. Competitors are one of the main ways how species go extinct.