Bound_up comments on Open thread, Oct. 03 - Oct. 09, 2016 - Less Wrong

4 Post author: MrMind 03 October 2016 06:59AM

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Comment author: Bound_up 08 October 2016 04:57:21PM 0 points [-]

I'm looking for an SSC post.

Scott talks about how a friend says he always seems to know what's what, and Scott says "Not, really; I'm the first to admit my error bars are wide and that my theories are speculative, often no better than hand-waving."

They go back and forth, with Scott giving precise reasons why he's not always right, and then he says "...I'm doing it right now, aren't I?"

Something like that. Can anybody point me to it?

Comment author: jimmy 08 October 2016 07:11:22PM 3 points [-]

An excellent post, but not Scott :)

http://mindingourway.com/confidence-all-the-way-up/