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Benquo comments on Be secretly wrong - Less Wrong

32 Post author: Benquo 10 December 2016 07:06AM

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Comment author: Benquo 09 December 2016 08:20:38PM 0 points [-]

I think this objection is comparatively strong for non-operationalized "shoulds," post-dictions, and highly general statements that haven't yet been cashed out to specific anticipations. I think that there's very little harm in making a model more explicit, and a lot of benefit, when you get all they way down to expecting to observe specific things in a hard-to-mistake way.

That's a separate skill that's needed in order to make this advice beneficial, and it's important to keep in mind the overall skill tree, so thanks for bringing up this issue.