Less Wrong is a community blog devoted to refining the art of human rationality. Please visit our About page for more information.

Benquo comments on Be secretly wrong - Less Wrong

31 Post author: Benquo 10 December 2016 07:06AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (47)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Benquo 10 December 2016 07:30:47PM 0 points [-]

Another thing you can do is, once you've secretly articulated your bold claims, and in that space figured out which you believe and to what extent, publicly express your more endorsed, moderated judgment. It's often important to have some workspace where you make bold but dubious claim X, in order seriously consider it as a hypothesis and explore what the evidence is and what it predicts. But this can help you figure out what qualifiers to add, or at least be able to confidently say something like, "I'm not sure this is right, but if it's wrong, I have no idea how or in what direction."