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TheAncientGeek comments on Further discussion of CFAR’s focus on AI safety, and the good things folks wanted from “cause neutrality” - Less Wrong

36 Post author: AnnaSalamon 12 December 2016 07:39PM

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Comment author: TheAncientGeek 15 December 2016 11:02:54AM *  2 points [-]

If we live in a world where the discover of the planning fallacy can fall victim to it, we live in a world where teachers of rationality fail to improve anyone's rationality skills.

Comment author: owencb 15 December 2016 11:51:06AM 0 points [-]

This conclusion is way too strong. To just give one way: there's a big space of possibilities where discovering the planning fallacy in fact makes you less susceptible to the planning fallacy, but not immune.

Comment author: TheAncientGeek 15 December 2016 12:49:25PM 2 points [-]

Actually, if the CFAR could reliably reduce susceptibility to the planning fallacy, they are wasting their time with AI safety--they could be making a fortune teaching their methods to the software industry, or engineers in general.