I'd like people not to threaten to hit me to get my stuff. I'd like people to trade with me. I'd like people who trade with me not to precommit to taking 90% of the gains from trade. I'd also like people who trade with me not to precommit to taking 10% of the gains from trade.
Hell, if someone is going to hit me anyway, I'd like the option of paying them a little to make them hit less hard.
It seems to me that counterfactual is just another word for default - ie the alternative that would have happened if they'd not decided to extort/trade.
It seems to me that counterfactual is just another word for default - ie the alternative that would have happened if they'd not decided to extort/trade.
Sure, we can use default as another name for a particular counterfactual. Note that many people around here are already asking "how should we compute logical counterfactuals?" Thinking about defaults suggests an emphasis on different considerations, like norms, which seem like the wrong place to start.
(Note also that "what would have happened if they'd not decided to extort/trade" isn...
To illustrate an old point - that it's hard to distinguish between extortion and trade negotiations - here's a schematic diagram of extortion, alternating actions by player B (blackmailer/extorter//blue) and V (victim//violet):
The extorter can let the default Def happen, or can instead do a threat, ending up in point T. Then the victim can resist (Res) or surrender (Sur). If the victim resists, the extorter has the option of carrying out their threat (C) or not doing so (¬C).
You need a few conditions to make this into a extortion situation:
A mere threat doesn't make this into extortion. Indeed, trade negotiations are a series of repeated threats from both sides, making offers with the implicit threat that they will walk away from the deal entirely if that offer is not accepted.
But if C is worse that Def for V, then this seems a true extortion: V will end up worse if they resist a extorter who carries out their threats, and they would have much preferred that the extorter not be able to make credible threats in the first place. And the only reason the extorter made the threats, was to force the victim to surrender.
Fairness and equity
Note that this is not about fairness or niceness. It's perfectly possible to extort someone into giving you fair treatment (depending on how you see the default point, many of the boycotts during the civil right movement would count as extortion).
The all important default
This model seems clear; so why is it so hard to identify extortion in real life? One key issue is disagreement over the default point. Consider the following situations:
These examples should be sufficient to illustrate the degree of the problem, and also show how defaults are often forged by implicit and explicit norms, so extortions are clearest cut when they also include norm violation, trust violation, or other dubious elements. behaviours. In a sense, picking the default is the important thing; picking exactly the right default is less important, since once the default is known, people can adjust their expectations and behaviour in consequence.