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bigjeff5 comments on Probability is in the Mind - Less Wrong

60 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 12 March 2008 04:08AM

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Comment author: bigjeff5 01 February 2011 06:44:07PM 1 point [-]

Place a Gomboc on a non-flat surface and that "inherent" property goes away.

If it were inherent, it would not go away.

Therefore, its probability is not inherent, it is an evaluation we can make if we have enough information about the prior conditions. In this case "on a flat surface" is plenty of information, and we can assign it a 100% probability.

But what is its probability of righting itself on a surface angled 15 degrees? Is it still 100%? I doubt it, but I don't know.

Very cool shape, by the way.