Less Wrong is a community blog devoted to refining the art of human rationality. Please visit our About page for more information.

matteri comments on Probability is in the Mind - Less Wrong

60 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 12 March 2008 04:08AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (190)

Sort By: Old

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: matteri 06 May 2011 06:24:53PM -1 points [-]

I am not arguing against betting on the side that showed up in the first toss. What is interesting though is that even under those strict conditions, if you don't know the bias beforehand, you never will. Considering this; how could anyone ever argue that there are known probabilities in the world where no such strict conditions apply?

Comment author: Alicorn 06 May 2011 06:30:09PM 0 points [-]
Comment author: matteri 06 May 2011 06:43:23PM 0 points [-]

Very well, I could have phrased it in a better way. Let me try again; and let's hope I am not mistaken.

Considering that even if there is such a thing as an objective probability, it can be shown that such information is impossible to acquire (impossible to falsify); how could it be anything but religion to believe in such a thing?

Comment author: Alicorn 06 May 2011 06:47:42PM 0 points [-]