Less Wrong is a community blog devoted to refining the art of human rationality. Please visit our About page for more information.

nshepperd comments on Probability is in the Mind - Less Wrong

60 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 12 March 2008 04:08AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (186)

Sort By: Old

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: nshepperd 01 September 2011 03:51:06AM 0 points [-]

I think they are arguing that the "independent trials" that are happening here are instances of "being given a 'randomly' biased coin and seeing if a single flip turns up heads". But of course the techniques they are using are bayesian, because I'd expect a frequentist to say at this point "well, I don't know who's giving me the coins, how am I supposed to know the probability distribution for the coins?".