ThrustVectoring comments on Probability is in the Mind - Less Wrong
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I'd go down a level of abstraction about the camera in order to answer this question. You have a list of numbers, and you're told that five seconds from now this list of numbers are going to replace with a list of triplets, with the property that the average of the triplet is the same as the corresponding number in the list.
What is the probability you assign to "one of these triplets is within a certain range of RGB values?"