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Caledonian2 comments on Qualitatively Confused - Less Wrong
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No, on both counts. The sentences do not mean quite different things, and that is not how you conceive of the possibility that your beliefs are false.
One is a statement of belief, and one is a meta-statement of belief. Except for one level of self-reference, they have exactly the same meaning. Given the statement, anyone can generate the meta-statement if they assume you're consistent, and given the meta-statement, the statement necessarily follows.