Caledonian2 comments on Is Humanism A Religion-Substitute? - Less Wrong

27 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 26 March 2008 04:18AM

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Comment author: Caledonian2 27 March 2008 12:09:39AM 0 points [-]

the more specific the predictions a hypothesis makes, the more credence we should give it

Incorrect. The more specific the predictions a hypothesis makes, the easier it becomes to confirm or reject the hypothesis, and the more meaningful investigation and observation can be in evaluating it. But that is why we should treat such hypotheses more seriously than vague ones, not why we should view them as more credible than vague ones.