This is a linkpost for https://foundational-research.org/s-risks-talk-eag-boston-2017/
It seems like an s-risk outcome (even one that keeps some people happy) could be more than a million times worse than an x-risk outcome, while not being a million times more improbable, so focusing on s-risks is correct.
That sounds like a recipe for Pascal's Mugging.
Only if you think one in a million events are as rare as meeting god in person.