Furcas comments on Where Physics Meets Experience - Less Wrong

28 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 25 April 2008 04:58AM

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Comment author: Furcas 13 June 2009 01:07:19AM *  0 points [-]

So now suppose that my 500,000 green selves are reunited into one Ebborian, and my 3 red selves are reunited into one Ebborian. Have I just sent nearly all of my "subjective probability" into the green future self, even though it is now only one of two?
With only a little more work, you can see how a temporary expenditure of computing power, or a nicely refined brain-splitter and a dose of anesthesia, would let you have a high subjective probability of winning any lottery. At least any lottery that involved splitting you into pieces."

I don't understand this part; someone explain it to me, please!

Comment author: thomblake 18 April 2012 09:02:08PM 0 points [-]

Think of the Monty Hall problem. According to the lines just above those, those 500,000 selves have greater probability mass than the 3 red selves. But then combining them, you have a single green self with a greater probability mass than the single red self.

For the other part, see The Anthropic Trilemma about the Quantum Lottery thought experiment.

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