MatthewB comments on Lists of cognitive biases, common misconceptions, and fallacies - Less Wrong

13 Post author: Kevin 23 January 2010 10:47PM

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Comment author: MatthewB 25 January 2010 09:55:00AM 0 points [-]

The Dunning-Kruger Effect is one that I have found really interesting.

We may be doing a small study at school of this tendency in the philosophy dept of the Philosophy students.

It is pretty easy to get the student's GPA (if they allow it) at the end of the semester. Or, just compare the results of their predicted performance with their actual performance, and then see how that correlates to their past GPA.

We should find that those with lower GPAs, will, on average, have predicted that they will do better than they actually did, and that those with higher GPAs will have predicted that they will do worse than they actually did. (that is, if we can find a way to control for other biases that may affect the study)