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quen_tin comments on The Dilemma: Science or Bayes? - Less Wrong
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I can communicate with other people, therefore I assume they are conscious. It's an empirical evidence, which leads to an inter-subjective viewpoint.
From this inter-subjective viewpoint, we can all agree that only the present exists, and only this world.
The troubles we can get with scientific models are always of the same kind: it is an instantiation problem. Scientific models do not say anything about existence, they are only good at predictions.
Sorry for the flip reply, but shouldn't that rather be "only that"?
I think I get your idea about the difficulty of assuming the reality of unreachable states, but you seem to keep making ungrounded jumps from intuitions to assertions of certainty.
You're right, there is no certainty, but my jumps are not totally ungrounded. We all experience a flow of time in a single world, and the many-worlds interpretion does not really explains it.
It really does. At the level of everyday life branching explains our experiences exactly as well as a non-quantum explanation. When we happen to be using scientific apparatus our experience is better explained by MW.
It does not explain why we followed that path in the many world, not another one. Our experience is "better explain" > it is a good heuristic interpretation.
It doesn't explain that because that isn't what happened.
That is my experience. As far as I can know if something happened, that happened.
You confusing experience itself with your intuitions about experience. Your actual experience makes just as much sense if you perceive yourself to be part of a great tree of branches.
Then I followed a path on this tree.
Evidently.