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Stuart_Armstrong comments on Science Isn't Strict Enough - Less Wrong
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It isn't in between. Your knowledge of the question is in between. You would like it to be closer to one end or the other. You can apply a whole lot of heuristics without messing this part up.
Yes. And that's what's harder to remember. I "know" that Lincoln was assassinated, and I "know" that Charles de Gaulle didn't die in Burma. But trying to remember what my estimate is as to whether it's good or bad for overweight people to go on a diet... that's a lot harder.