So, let's see, Unknown thinks I'm overconfident for not believing in collapse fairies, for believing in reductionism, for not shifting my opinion toward Robert Aumann's belief that an omnipotent deity took sides in ancient tribal quarrels, and... what else?

Foolish mortal, it is a hundred years too early for you to accuse me of arrogance.

Oh, and point me to any single comment on Overcoming Bias where you've changed your opinion. Ever. Googling on "you know, you're right" produced this and this from me. There've been other cases but I can't recall their Google keywords offhand.