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Coscott comments on Principles of Disagreement - Less Wrong
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I disagree with both of these methods. If EY were 100% sure, and NB were 50% sure, then I think the entire 20 should go to EY, and neither of the two methods have this property. I am very interested in trying to figure out what the best formula for this situation is, but I do not yet know. Here is a proposal:
Take the least amount of evidence so that you can shift both predictions by this amount of evidence, to make them the same, and split according to this probability.
Is this algorithm good?