Benja comments on No, Really, I've Deceived Myself - Less Wrong

55 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 04 March 2009 11:29PM

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Comment author: Benja 06 March 2009 11:17:44AM 7 points [-]

This seems like an empirical proposition. Does anybody here know what cryonics believers say who've seen friends or loved ones frozen?

Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 25 June 2009 07:56:47PM 14 points [-]

An interesting point. Keeping in mind that cryonics "believers" trust cryonics with varying degrees of probability and that many or even most of them try to appear more rational to their skeptical friends by saying "The probability is only 20% but that still makes it a good bet based on expected utility", then I'd say that I've seen both behaviors. That is, I've seen some cryonicists expressing grief, some cryonicists (including myself) saying "See you later", and my untrustworthy eyeballs indicate that this correlates to how much trust they have in cryonics.

Eyeballs also indicate that someone who's more deeply involved in the cryonics community per se is less likely to mourn, regardless of what they say about their verbal probabilities. And furthermore, when someone is suspended who themselves believed strongly in cryonics, "weak" cryonics advocates are less likely to mourn that person! This may have something to do with the degree to which mourning is empathy...? Or do they, perhaps, believe just strongly enough to worry that the one will come back and be annoyed at the "condolences"?

Are weakly religious people less likely to mourn the death of strongly religious people? I'm guessing "Yes" - and it'd be easier to gather data here.

Comment author: Lotska 22 May 2013 09:49:27AM 0 points [-]

I'm sure it's possible to believe in God but deceive oneself into belief of atheism. And then grieve shallowly with a feeling that the deceased is not really gone forever.

Comment author: shminux 22 May 2013 03:07:20PM *  0 points [-]

Also known as "there are no atheists in foxholes".

Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 22 May 2013 02:09:04PM 0 points [-]

That sounds theoretically possible but I haven't seen it.

Comment author: [deleted] 22 May 2013 02:31:08PM *  0 points [-]

Really? I would expect you of all people to see it.

Most atheists alieve in God and trust him to make the future turn out all right (ie they expect the future to magically be ok even if no one deliberately makes it so). Hence "beyond the reach of god" and all that stuff.

I guess this is offtopic in this particular thread, though.

Comment author: hairyfigment 22 May 2013 11:12:46PM 0 points [-]

People alieve that nothing too bad will happen if they behave well or otherwise follow some set of rules. (I have to fight this feeling myself!) I can well imagine people having a mental picture, which they habitually use to make predictions, in which something justifies this feeling. But do they picture a deity as commonly described? Or do they picture their parents/society/church having (limited) magical powers?

Comment author: DSimon 22 May 2013 06:43:35PM 5 points [-]

Most atheists alieve in God and trust him to make the future turn out all right (ie they expect the future to magically be ok even if no one deliberately makes it so).

The statement in parentheses seems to contradict the one outside. Are you over-applying the correlation between magical thinking and theism?

Comment author: Vaniver 22 May 2013 06:56:49PM 1 point [-]

The statement in parentheses seems to contradict the one outside.

The implication is "no one human"- that is, the atheists in question still live in a positive universe rather than a neutral one, but don't have an explanation for the positivity.

Comment author: redlizard 22 May 2013 03:51:03PM 1 point [-]

I highly doubt that that expectation is due to hidden belief in gods. It sounds more like an overly strong generalization from "it all adds up to normality" to me.

In other words, you can expect the future to turn out alright without any agents actively making it so based purely on inductive bias.

Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 22 May 2013 03:20:54PM 0 points [-]

I've seen that for planets a lot more than for people, yes.

Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 25 June 2009 08:16:30PM 8 points [-]

Sounds like priming: since the deceased is associated with not mourning cryonically suspended, the attitude towards this issue changes in the context. I expect that the verbal probabilities, if not premeditated, will also change, if the question is framed like "what is the probability that [this person] will be restored?", depending on the belief of [this person] in the success.