Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on The Ultimate Source - Less Wrong

35 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 15 June 2008 09:01AM

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Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 16 June 2008 04:24:38AM 4 points [-]

Unfortunately, even non-specialists have no difficulty tracing causal chains well into the past.

"Screens off" is a term of art in causal modeling. Technically, the present D-separates the past and future. This is visible in e.g. the counterfactual statement, "If the past changed but the present was held fixed, the future would not change; if the present changed but the past was held fixed, the future would change."

the future is fixed2 before I was born

It makes exactly as much sense to say, "The past is fixed fifty years after I am born."