michael_vassar3 comments on When (Not) To Use Probabilities - Less Wrong

28 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 23 July 2008 10:58AM

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Comment author: michael_vassar3 24 July 2008 03:25:42PM 0 points [-]

Unknown: God exists is not well specified. For something like "Zeus Exists" (not exactly that, some guy named Zeus does exist, and in some quantum branch there's probably an AGI that creates the world of Greek Myth in simulation) I would say that my confidence in its falsehood is greater than my confidence in the alleged probability of winning a lottery could be.