J_Thomas2 comments on Anthropomorphic Optimism - Less Wrong
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"If there is an act such that one believed that, conditional on oneâs performing it, the world had a 0.00000000000001% greater probability of containing infinite good than it would otherwise have (and the act has no offsetting effect on the probability of an infinite bad), then according to EDR one ought to do it even if it had the certain sideâeffect of laying to waste a million human species in a galacticâscale calamity.
The assumption is that when you lay waste to a million human species the bad that is done is finite.
Is there solid evidence for that? If there's any slightest chance that it will result in infinite bad, then the problem is much more complicated.
There has to be not the 0.00000000000001% probability that your evil might be infinite, before this reasoning makes sense.