JulianMorrison comments on Crisis of Faith - Less Wrong

57 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 10 October 2008 10:08PM

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Comment author: JulianMorrison 12 October 2008 02:09:00PM 0 points [-]

Well, I've just sat down and done one of those, and it was really difficult. Not so much because I was pushing against established beliefs (I had strong beliefs both ways, so it was more that any movement pushed somewhere) but because the largest worry I had, "Is this a fad?", is hard to answer specifically because I've recently changed to become so much more Bayesian. I used to do daft things like "giving ideas a chance". Consequently, I can't look to my long and undistinguished history in order to glean hints. I already don't do the obvious wrong stuff.

So the problem has to be phrased as "what sorts of irrationality would not be obvious to a beginner Bayesian?"

That's a real poser. Just by being one, I'm in the worst possible place to guess.

(FWIW, the outcome was "continue, for now".)