anon19 comments on Expected Creative Surprises - Less Wrong

25 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 24 October 2008 10:22PM

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Comment author: anon19 25 October 2008 12:01:22AM 0 points [-]

Could you give a more precise definition of "calibrated"? Your example of 1/37 for each of 37 different possibilities, justified by saying that indeed one of the 37 will happen, seems facile. Do you mean that the "correct" distribution, relative to your guess, has low relative entropy?