simon2 comments on Expected Creative Surprises - Less Wrong

25 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 24 October 2008 10:22PM

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Comment author: simon2 25 October 2008 12:46:43AM 1 point [-]

I think what he means by "calibrated" is something like it not being possible for someone else to systematically improve the probabilities you give for the possible answers to a question just from knowing what values you've assigned (and your biases), without looking at what the question is.

I suppose the improvement would indeed be measured in terms of relative entropy of the "correct" guess with respect to the guess given.