Anonymous47 comments on Disappointment in the Future - Less Wrong

9 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 01 December 2008 04:45AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (26)

Sort By: Old

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: Anonymous47 01 December 2008 06:13:42AM 1 point [-]

If you look at the whole list, the predictions aren't terribly bad. I think the main problem is that they are far too concrete--Kurzweil got the gist of trends in electronics. He should have simply stated the trends he sees that justified the predictions he made. Then, instead of these obviously flawed predictions, he would have some worthwhile observations about trends in consumer electronics.

I don't know about the "Luddite movement" prediction, though. He should leave those kind of predictions to the social scientists.